Page 126 - JOURNAL OF LIBRARY SCIENCE IN CHINA 2018 Vol. 44

FU Caiwu & YUE Nan / Restrictions on incremental financial investment in the construction of 125
modern public cultural service system: Based on investigations of county public libraries

2.1.1 Weak effect of fiscal investment on circulation person-time of county level libraries in the
eastern area
Based on the data from the China Yearbook of Cultural and Cultural Heritage Statistics about
county level libraries in ten provinces and municipalities of the eastern area from 2001 to 2015,
including Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Shandong, Guangdong and
Hainan, multiple linear regression analysis of the four impact factors and circulation person-time
has been carried out. The following is the formula of co-integration test:
logltrc=0.53*logczbt+0.20*logcyry
From a long-term perspective, the elasticity coefficient of fiscal investment to circulation person-
time in the eastern area was 0.53 and that of number of employees to circulation person-time was
0.20. These figures indicate that growth of circulation person-time is positively influenced by
growth of fiscal subsidy and number of employees in the eastern areas, but the influence is not
significant.

2.1.2 Strong effect of permanent resident population by the end of that very year and number of
employees on circulation person-time of county level libraries in the central area
Based on the data from the China Yearbook of Cultural and Cultural Heritage Statistics about
county level libraries in six provinces of the central area from 2001 to 2015, including Shanxi,
Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei and Hunan, multiple linear regression analysis of the four impact
factors and circulation person-time has been carried out. The following is the formula of co-
integration test:
logltrc=4.93*logcyry+0.16*logczbt+13.66*logrk-180.98
Calculation results indicate that from 2001 to 2015, the elasticity coefficients of number of
employees to circulation person-time in the central area was 0.53, that of fiscal subsidy 0.16, and
that of permanent resident population 13.66. In a long term, growth of circulation person-time
in the central area is primarily influenced by population growth, followed by number of library
employees. Fiscal subsidy has the least positive influence.

2.1.3 Strong effect of number of employees on circulation person-time of county level libraries in
the western area
Based on the data from the China Yearbook of Cultural and Cultural Heritage Statistics about
county level libraries in twelve provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of the western
area from 2001 to 2015, including Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou,
Yunnan, Tibet, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang, multiple linear regression analysis
of the four impact factors and circulation person-time has been carried out. The following is the
formula of co-integration test:
logltrc=3.42*logcyry+0.73*logczbt-0.86*logrjgdp-31.71 〇a ①
① The per capita GDP (logrjgdp) is used here to meet the cointegration requirements of multiple linear regression.